Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 519.599244 552.412900 586.499831 624.612451 666.108298 709.996896 760.028403
2026-01-25 478.413195 523.732745 572.696015 629.739234 694.636541 766.485072 852.478944
2026-02-01 452.283979 505.457236 564.533208 635.438244 718.764659 814.242716 932.879372
2026-02-08 433.032098 492.153504 559.360692 642.047797 741.915375 859.767223 1011.065026
2026-02-15 414.306091 477.544733 550.831508 642.918648 756.790819 894.667794 1076.869772
2026-02-22 398.148159 464.620777 542.975425 643.294644 770.003720 927.055303 1140.211870
2026-03-01 385.422730 454.872606 538.023167 646.347874 785.906793 962.752884 1208.989314
2026-03-08 372.122756 443.579021 530.324504 645.103281 795.647763 990.301866 1267.805914
2026-03-15 361.058625 434.422549 524.648304 645.799560 807.436018 1020.527441 1331.372139
2026-03-22 350.557214 425.420622 518.600943 645.440171 817.390725 1048.275066 1392.544318
2026-03-29 341.055535 417.229722 513.116113 645.336749 827.333090 1076.052140 1454.900990
2026-04-05 333.778379 411.557140 510.554406 648.821801 842.051649 1110.841991 1529.217171
2026-04-12 325.559430 404.352824 505.675705 648.886906 851.894382 1139.054364 1595.352413
2026-04-19 319.943144 400.331926 504.795542 654.264311 869.284870 1178.796026 1681.432604
2026-04-26 314.935322 396.892528 504.479911 660.263260 887.624770 1220.595556 1773.207919
2026-05-03 310.589360 394.147566 504.927644 667.220690 907.483918 1265.447912 1872.674881
2026-05-10 304.391020 388.648912 501.334581 668.137479 918.233853 1296.640817 1951.400614
2026-05-17 298.365328 383.175762 497.547096 668.533314 928.059823 1326.658992 2029.886686
2026-05-24 293.597247 379.273151 495.788419 671.747796 942.190627 1364.017006 2123.420456
2026-05-31 287.615452 373.486112 491.143508 670.437439 949.123969 1389.917412 2198.239716
2026-06-07 282.572240 368.860256 487.982737 671.170504 959.181777 1421.268096 2284.907841
2026-06-14 277.426985 363.935454 484.215773 670.792126 967.349929 1449.716837 2368.044633
2026-06-21 272.598031 359.321120 480.739504 670.683240 975.851078 1479.003363 2454.703203